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Since we just hit the midseason mark of the 2016 College Baseball season we have released our first of many NCAA Baseball Regional Projections. We have included the team currently in first place in each conference as the projected champion. This is done with games played through April 11th. You can check out the full projection below.
| 1. Florida (1) 2. Georgia Tech * 3. Cal State Fullerton 4. UNC Wilmington | 1. College of Charleston * 2. North Carolina 3. Oregon State 4. Eastern Michigan * |
| 1. Texas A&M (8) 2. TCU 3. Lamar 4. Monmouth * | 1. Texas Tech * 2. Bryant * 3. Dallas Baptist * 4. St. Louis * |
| 1. Florida State (5) 2. FAU 3. Tennessee 4. Florida A&M* | 1. South Alabama * 2. LSU 3. Jacksonville State * 4. Alabama State * |
| 1.Ole Miss (4) 2. Rice 3. Southeastern LA 4. Oral Roberts * | 1. Southern Miss * 2. Louisiana-Lafayette 3. Southeast Missouri State 4. Kennesaw State |
| 1. Louisville (6) 2.Creighton * 3. Oklahoma State 4. Cincinnati * | 1. Vanderbilt 2. Michigan State * 3. Wright State * 4. St. Mary’s |
| 1. Miami, FL * (3) 2. Old Dominion 3. BYU * 4. Binghamton * | 1. Mississippi State 2. Northwestern State 3. Pittsburgh 4. Navy* |
| 1. UC Santa Barbara (7) 2. Kentucky 3. Cal * 4. Seattle U * | 1. NC State 2. East Carolina 3. Princeton * 4. UNC Greensboro |
| 1. South Carolina * (2) 2. Coastal Carolina * 3. Western Carolina 4. Michigan | 1. Clemson 2. Minnesota 3. New Mexico * 4. Hawaii * |
The * denotes a Projected Conference Champion
| Conference | Projected Champ |
| America East | Binghamton |
| American Athletic Conference | Cincinnati |
| Atlantic 10 | St. Louis |
| ACC | Miami (FL) |
| Atlantic Sun | Kennesaw State |
| Big 10 | Michigan State |
| Big 12 | Texas Tech |
| Big East | Creighton |
| Big South | Coastal Carolina |
| Big West | Hawaii |
| CAA | College of Charleston |
| Conference USA | Southern Miss |
| Horizon League | Wright State |
| Ivy League | Princeton |
| MAAC | Monmouth |
| MAC | Eastern Michigan |
| MEAC | Florida A&M |
| Missouri Valley | Dallas Baptist |
| Mountain West | New Mexico |
| Northeast Conference | Bryant |
| Ohio Valley Conference | Jacksonville State |
| Pac-12 | Cal |
| Patriot League | Navy |
| SEC | South Carolina |
| Southern Conference | Western Carolina |
| Southland Conference | Southeastern LA |
| SWAC | Alabama State |
| Summit League | Oral Roberts |
| Sun Belt | South Alabama |
| West Coast Conference | BYU |
| WAC | Seattle U. |
11 comments
You confused Ole Miss with Mississippi State. State is actually the one that beat No. 1 and No. 2 on the road (and Ole Miss). Make sure to proofread next time.
Nope…Ole Miss has a series victory over a very good Louisville team, took a game on the road vs Mississippi State, and has played a ton of NCAA teams as of right now ooc. Yea, they got swept by South Carolina which is right now in first place in the conference. Mississippi State has a series loss at home to FAU, lost to a very bad UCLA team, tied Oklahoma (not good), Eastern Kentucky at home, Oral Roberts, and Georgia. A majority of these teams are not even in the conversation to make the tournament.
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So we can cross out “OM took a game from MSU on the road” as a net advantage, since they lost the series ninety minutes from their campus. Let’s be charitable and call that series loss a wash for OM.
Next, we might stretch and say that a home 2-1 series win against Louisville equals a road series win against Vanderb … heh, no. Just kidding. That’s not even close.
And even if it were, that leaves you with MSU’s Florida road series win, the answer to which is … What? That MSU lost a couple of early season games while trying out arms and lineups?
Okay. I guess we’ll just have to see if “MSU threw its third best freshman against Oral Roberts and lost a Wednesday night game” is a reliable indicator of what will happen through the remainder of SEC play.
I’m not sure what this guy has against State, but there is clearly a bias. I brought up the RPI disparity between State and OM and here is his mind-boggling response:
“Ole Miss has played a much more difficult OOC. It isn’t even close while
Mississippi State was beating up on Lowell (transitional d-2 school)
and Eastern Kentucky.”
Brian Foley
Really? REALLY?
Forget ole miss’ body of work, but how does one justify putting Florida State ahead of mississippi state? And if mississippi state isn’t a top 8 seed how could they be pitted against a 3 seed in miami essential making them a 13 seed? It just doesn’t seem likely considering state has taken care of 7 of your projected number 1 seeds.
*5 not 7.
Regionals aren’t seeded 1-16 as you know.
Brian Foley
How can you justify putting teams like UNC WIlmington and St. Mary’s in, while keeping Stanford out? Also, why is Michigan a 4 seed?
Stanford’s RPI is 67th….tough to say they deserve a bid being that low and Michigan is 43rd
Brian Foley
Editor of College Baseball Daily
Twitter: @BFoley82|@CB_Daily
RPI does not tell the whole story. Southeast Missouri State? Their resume is rather lackluster. They’ve won 0 quality games (unless you count 1 against Missouri). They swept Morehead State, who is decently well liked by RPI standards despite having 0 quality wins. The Ohio Valley Conference is not a 2-bid league. They’ll have their autobid and that’s it.
Did I say on May 30th the Ohio Valley will be a two bid conference? As of Monday, it is and likely will be passed over by teams in the coming weeks
Brian Foley
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