CBB Column: 2010 NCAA Regional Projections (May 12th)

– May 12, 2010Posted in: 2010 CWS, 2010 NCAA Tourney, CBD Column

The College Baseball Blog continues our weekly countdown to the release of the 2010 NCAA Regional Brackets. The brackets are done as if the NCAA Tournament was set to begin today. We used Boyd’s World RPI which was updated through games on Tuesday as that was the latest available. You can check out the full bracket below which is our best estimate if the tournament started today.

1. Arizona State* (1) 2. New Mexico 3. Texas A&M 4. Sacred Heart*	1. Vanderbilt 2. Oregon 3. Liberty 4. Wright State*
1. Texas* (2) 2. Rice* 3. Tennessee 4. Jackson State*	1. TCU* 2. Oklahoma 3. Texas State* 4. Michigan*
1. Florida* (3) 2. FAU * 3. Pitt 4. Bethune-Cookman*	1. Clemson 2. Auburn 3. The Citadel* 4. James Madison*
1. Virginia* (4) 2. College of Charleston 3. Oregon State 4. Oral Roberts*	1. LSU 2. UCONN * 3. UL-Lafayette 4. Ball State*
1. Louisville (5) 2. Kentucky 3. Western Kentucky 4. Murray State *	1. Georgia Tech 2. Alabama 3. Texas Tech 4. Illinois State*
1. Coastal Carolina* (6) 2. North Carolina 3. Stanford 4. Charlotte*	1. Florida State 2. South Carolina 3. Florida Gulf Coast* 4. Dartmouth*
1. Arkansas (7) 2. Arizona 3. Kansas State 4. Canisius*	1. Miami 2. Ole Miss 3. Washington State 4. Binghamton*
1. UCLA (8) 2. San Diego* 3. UC-Irvine 4. Army*	1. Fullerton* 2. Virginia Tech 3. Cal 4. Fresno State*

CONFERENCE CHAMPS

America East	Binghamton
Atlantic 10	Charlotte
ACC	Virginia
Atlantic Sun	Florida Gulf Coast
Big 10	Michigan
Big 12	Texas
Big East	UConn
Big South	Coastal Carolina
Big West	Cal-State Fullerton
CAA	James Madison
Conference USA	Rice
Horizon League	Wright State
Ivy	Dartmouth
MAAC	Canisius
MAC	Ball State
MEAC	Bethune-Cookman
Missouri Valley	Illinois State
Mountain West	TCU
Northeast	Sacred Heart
Ohio Valley	Murray State
Pac-10	Arizona State
Patriot League	Army
SEC	Florida
Southern Conference	The Citadel
Southland Conference	Texas State
SWAC	Jackson State
Summit	Oral Roberts
Sun Belt	Florida Atlantic
West Coast Conference	San Diego
WAC	Fresno State

Tags: 2010 CWS, 2010 NCAA Regional Projections, 2010 NCAA Tourney, CBD Column

About Mark Rafferty

Mark Rafferty is a 2007 Arizona State graduate where he majored in Justice Studies. During his collegiate days, he founded PitchForkNation.com which covers all Sun Devils sports. He joined College Baseball Daily during the 2007 postseason when he covered the Cal-State Fullerton Regional. He has covered multiple NCAA Regionals and the College World Series. You may contact Mark by email at Mark at collegebaseballdaily.com and follow him on Twitter @MarkRaff.

Tigerterrace

I see you have gone with the RPI template. Nobody has had LSU hosting for two weeks now and they have done nothing over the last three weeks to change that. They are like 2-9 over the last three weeks. Nobody gives Clemson much of a chance to host either at this point. They are the 5th team in the ACC which will probably only get 4 host sites.
http://mgoblog.com/category/sport/baseball formerlyanonymous

The chance of Michigan winning the conference tournament is less than 10%. I think you have better odds going with Minnesota, Purdue, or Northwestern. All three starting rotations are much stronger, and all three teams have been on fire in conference play (maybe not Northwestern as much). If Michigan doesn’t get the bye, they don’t have an ace on their staff that I think stands up to anyone elses’ ace. They may be able to take a game or maybe even two in the losers bracket, but I can’t see them getting past whoever would be in the winners bracket
AirForceRebel

Not sure how you decided to seed the SEC teams but you have Ole Miss and South Carolina as #2 seeds but LSU as a #1 seed. Too much emphasis was placed on their RPI’s (LSU-15, SC-19, Ole Miss-21) which are close enogh that overall record, SEC record, and head-to-head record should have come into account. Obviously it didn’t! Compare SC, Ole Miss, and LSU in those three areas. Overall record: SC 37-11, Ole Miss 34-15, LSU 34-15. Conference record: SC 17-7, Ole Miss 15-9, LSU 12-12. Head-to-head: SC/LSU did not play, Ole Miss swept LSU 3-0. Seeding LSU over either team is rediculous!

Also, as much as I like the SEC and realize that our top 10 teams all have excellent RPI’s, I think getting 10 teams in is a stretch, 8-9 is more realistic.
- Tigerterrace
  
  Like I posted earlier it was obvious that this weeks projections was based solely on RPi and that is why you have LSU hosting as a 12-12 SEC team and why you have 10 SEC teams in the field. I’m an SEC guy, but I don’t see that happening. Especially without a member on the committee to lobby for that team.
  
  This is how I break down the host schools.
  SEC (4) UF, Ark, (Ole Miss, USC, Vandy, Auburn)
  ACC (4) Virginia, Ga Tech, FSU, Miami
  Big XII (2) Texas, Oklahoma
  Pac-10 (2) Arizona St., UCLA
  Big East (1) Louisville
  Big South (1) Coastal Carolina
  WAC (1) TCU
  Big West (1) Cal St. Fullerton
  
  UCONN could get another bid for the Big East if Oklahoma or UCLA falls down the stretch. There is grow sentiment for their bid, but I think that Oklahoma will grab that spot with the Big XII Commissioner on the committee.
  - http://thecollegebaseballblog.com Brian Foley
    
    I think UConn will end up hosting at worst as a 2 seed so they can three northern programs and fly in a team from outside the region to save money.
lsufandeblieux3

rigth now only way lsu can host a regional is the ncaa giving to them, and making them a number 2 seed. we do have one of the top 5 stadiums in the nation. still 7 more games left and the sec tournament. we could get on a row. but im afraid of being ship to texas, tcu or virginia
SMissEagle

I see there is still no respect for Southern Miss, despite an 11 game winning streak which includes 3 conference sweeps. Yeah, there was a slump once conference play started, but this team’s usual lineup is only missing 3 players from last year’s CWS team, and they seem to have things figured out. I understand the reason for doubting them based on this season’s record, but they are now in contention to win the conference and there is no reason to be surprised if they make it out of the regional round again this year.
Bada Bing

I zero respect for the Golden Eagles. Beating Rice 11-2 right now in Houston.
E-Pats

South Carolina a #2 seed?? Seriously, you need to change your career field…
John

I think the winner of the Ole Miss/Auburn series will get to host, and a lot of it depends on how things turn out in Hoover at the SEC Tournament. I think this is a good foundation as to how it might play out, but there is still a lot of factors yet to happen like how teams play in their conference tournaments.
South Carolina a 2 seed???

You have South Carolina a 2 seed?????? But LSU hosting????
- http://thecollegebaseballblog.com Brian Foley
  
  Those were done LAST week.