Home 2016 Regional Projections 2016 NCAA Baseball Regional Projections (May 17th)

2016 NCAA Baseball Regional Projections (May 17th)

by Brian Foley
17 comments

2016RegionalProjectionsCollege Baseball Daily continues our countdown to the start of the 2016 NCAA Tournament with our weekly Regional Projections. These are done as if the teams finished the season on Monday. As has been the case this year, there is a major disparity towards the south schools due to the weak west coast baseball this season. You can check out the full brackets below.

1. Florida (1) *
2. Georgia Tech
3. Arizona State
4. Kennesaw State *
1. North Carolina
2. Georgia
3. UNCW *
4. UNCG *
1. Mississippi State (8)
2. Arizona
3. Northwestern State
4. Binghamton *
1. Florida State
2. Cal State Fullerton *
3. BYU
4. Florida A&M *
1. Texas A&M (4)
2. TCU
3. Dallas Baptist *
4. Boston College
1. Texas Tech *
2. Rice
3. Creighton *
4. SE Missouri State *
1. Ole Miss (5)
2. Louisiana-Lafayette
3. Gonzaga *
4. Utah *
1. Virginia
2. Michigan
3. Long Beach State
4. VCU *
1. Miami (FL) (3) *
2. FAU
3. Alabama
4. Fresno State *
1. Southern Miss *
2. Oklahoma State
3. South Alabama *
4. Alabama State *
1. NC State (6)
2. East Carolina
3. Bryant *
4. Princeton *
1. LSU
2. Tulane *
3. Southeastern Louisiana *
4. Oral Roberts *
1. South Carolina (7)
2. Duke
3. Louisiana Tech
4. Navy *
1. Coastal Carolina *
2. Clemson
3. Washington
4. Seattle University *
1. Louisville (2)
2.UC Santa Barbara
3. Minnesota *
4. Fairfield *
1. Vanderbilt
2. Wake Forest
3. Kent State *
4. Wright State *

Projected Conference Champions (Bold = Conference Champion)

Conference Projected Champ
America East Binghamton
American Athletic Conference Tulane
Atlantic 10 VCU
ACC Miami (FL)
Atlantic Sun Kennesaw State
Big 10 Minnesota
Big 12 Texas Tech
Big East Creighton
Big South Coastal Carolina
Big West Cal State Fullerton
CAA UNC-Wilmington
Conference USA Southern Miss
Horizon League Wright State
Ivy League Princeton
MAAC Fairfield
MAC Kent State
MEAC Florida A&M
Missouri Valley Dallas Baptist
Mountain West Fresno State
Northeast Conference Bryant
Ohio Valley Conference Southeast Missouri
Pac-12 Utah
Patriot League Navy
SEC Florida
Southern Conference UNCG
Southland Conference SE Louisiana
SWAC Alabama State
Summit League Oral Roberts
Sun Belt South Alabama
West Coast Conference Gonzaga
WAC Seattle University

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17 comments

eight26 May 17, 2016 - 2:29 pm

Get onboard the Titan hosting bus. It’s inevitable.

Joey May 17, 2016 - 2:34 pm

No it’s not. They need to be sent somewhere. They don’t deserve it.

eight26 May 17, 2016 - 2:57 pm

I’d like nothing more than for the Titans to go to Gainesville as a 4 seed. But they’ll host. This site and you have a minority opinion on that.

Brian Foley May 17, 2016 - 3:27 pm

The NCAA needs western seeds…there is no doubt about that. They don’t deserve it though. I also think the NCAA might give a Big Ten school a regional like they have done before.

eight26 May 17, 2016 - 3:39 pm

What does “deserve” it mean? How do you measure that?

Brian Foley May 17, 2016 - 3:54 pm

Besides the Texas Tech series victory, they don’t have a series victory over another team in our bracket. Only Indiana is a bubble team.

eight26 May 17, 2016 - 3:58 pm

I guess you missed the UCSB series that just happened. I guess you’re projecting a series loss to Long Beach in two weeks too.

Mark May 17, 2016 - 4:29 pm

eight26, if CSF ends up winning their last 2 series and winning the Big West, They are a lock to host in my opinion. I wouldnt worry too much if yall take care of business. They need some West Coast hosts and the Pac 12 is suspect to put it nicely.

eight26 May 17, 2016 - 4:43 pm

I forecast for a living. So I am always particularly interested in peoples’ reasoning being “projections.” I wouldn’t say I’m worried about where or who the Titans play. They’ve always taken on anyone anywhere. They’ll do just fine.

eight26 May 17, 2016 - 4:07 pm

By that logic, how does Coastal Carolina host? Unless I’m missing something, they have only played one series against a team in your field. And Georgia Tech swept them.

Mark May 17, 2016 - 2:36 pm

Still the only projections out there without Texas Tech as a National Seed. If they win the final series this weekend they will be the Big 12 Champs by at least 4 games. Sure the league is down but the Committee isnt taking a 5th or 6th place ACC/SEC team over the big 12 Champs. It is also inevitable.

NC State got swept this past weekend by Louisville (not terribly shameful @ Louisville) but didnt move from 6 National Seed.

AmK32 May 17, 2016 - 4:15 pm

Georgia #2 seed? They are 26-26 with game vs Georgia Tech, (3) vs Tenn and then SEC tourney. Not close to a top 32 team. Their RPI of 26 does not weigh that much.

Mark May 17, 2016 - 4:27 pm

Yeah, agreed. Georgia is squarely on the bubble. RPI is not the only factor for the committee.

Brian Foley May 17, 2016 - 4:27 pm

These are done as if the season ended on Monday night

Sent from my iPad

AmK32 May 17, 2016 - 5:20 pm

Than that makes my point even more. Right now they are not a top 50 team let alone top 32. Now they finish 3-1 and win a couple games in Hoover and probably get 3 seed cause #1 SOS and good finish.

AmK32 May 18, 2016 - 1:59 pm

I like to try and figure out how many bids are left. Right now i count about 34 teams “safely” in and 8 “bubble in” (Creighton, Nebraska, UNCW, Long Beach St, Washington, SE Louisiana, South Alabama, Gonzaga). Yes only their are only 33 atlarge bids so once one of those 42 get their conference automatic bids that number goes down and becomes easier to figure out who is in line for bids and who they are up against. Then of course you have factor in the stolen bids which most years are between 4-8. Here is table use to adjust the numbers

Numbercruncher May 18, 2016 - 9:22 am

Ole miss as the 5th national seed? Are you high? With their lousy conference schedule? They have done NOTHING of note other than beat Louisville on the road and LSU at home. Every other team worth their salt has beaten them including losing 3 of 4 to Mississippi State and getting SWEPT by South Carolina. They are in fifth place in the SEC and you have them as the 5th national seed? Oh and the 5th National seed doesn’t drop a midweek to Ark State either. Jeez. The only excuse for that is if they are sliding you a payment for placement like large companies push their products on search engines. I seriously hope that is what is going on.

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